May 26 2008 10:00AM
Weimar Inflation in America
Probably almost everyone is familiar with the
hyperinflationary episode that engulfed Germany after the First World War.
That nation’s economy was crippled by monetary problems that resulted
in dreadful personal hardships, even though up to that time Germany had
achieved one of the highest living standards in the world.
The newly formed German government, named for the city
where their constitution was drafted after the Kaiser’s abdication in
1918, kept pumping up the money supply. The process started relatively
slowly, but quickly the pace of money creation accelerated.
The Weimar government was paying its bills on credit
– just like Zimbabwe is now doing. The Weimar government was issuing
currency in exchange for valuable goods and services that it was receiving,
and the vendors of those goods and services accepted the newly issued
currency in the expectation that they would be able to exchange it for
goods and services of like value. However, they soon realized that they
were deluding themselves. Prices were rising rapidly, with the consequence
that a flight from the currency into commodities and other tangibles
began.
There was no discipline on the creation of new currency,
with the result that it was being issued to excess. Within a few short
years, the German government eventually destroyed the Reichsmark, the
currency it had been issuing, making the words Weimar Germany
synonymous with hyperinflation, economic collapse, deprivation and personal
hardship. All the wealth saved in Reichsmarks was wiped out.
For example, in his classic book, “Paper
Money”, penned three decades ago under the pen name of Adam
Smith, George J.W. Goodman recounts the story of Walter Levy, an
internationally known German-born oil consultant in New York. Levy told
him: “My father was a lawyer, and he had taken out an insurance
policy in 1903. Every month he had made the payments faithfully. It was a
20-year policy, and when it came due, he cashed it in and bought a single
loaf of bread.”
The following photo is from an insightful book by Bernd
Widdig entitled “Culture and Inflation in Weimar
Germany”. This photo shows one way in which people coped with
rising prices.

As the inflation worsened, people sold whatever they could
to survive. Widdig succinctly describes it in the caption to the above
photo as follows: “The impoverished middle class has to sell its
cherished possessions.”He should have correctly stated though
that it was the “newly impoverished middle class”.
They only became destitute after the inflation had destroyed their savings
and ability to maintain their standard of living.
Sadly, the problems of Weimar Germany are now appearing in
the US. To survive the impact of rising prices, Americans today –
like Germans did eight decades ago – are selling cherished
possessions, as explained in a recent story by Associated Press entitled
“Americans unload prized belongings to make ends
meet”. The full article is available at the following link: h
ttp://abcnews.go.com/Business/Economy/story?id=4750846&page=1
AP explains how some Americans are trying to cope
with the ravages of inflation: “To meet higher gas, food and
prescription drug bills, they are selling off grandmother's dishes and
their own belongings. Some of the household purging has been extremely
painful - families forced to part with heirlooms.” It is indeed
no doubt painful, just as it was for the Germans in the photograph above,
who surely must have been putting on a brave face for the photographer.
Confirmation of the AP story came a few days later on May
14th from an article in the Washington Post, which reported:
“Nearly seven in 10 Americans are worried about maintaining their
standard of living, as concern has spiked higher in just the past five
months, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Soaring consumer
prices are a major challenge, with many people struggling under the weight
of the rising costs of fuel, food and health care. The poll shows that the
weak economy and rising prices are high among voters' concerns, and
contribute to a souring national mood in this presidential election year.
More than eight in 10 said the country has veered pretty seriously
off-track, and a separate poll released yesterday by ABC showed economic
anxiety at its highest level on record since 1981. Overall, 68 percent of
people surveyed in the new Post-ABC poll said they were concerned about
their ability to keep up their lifestyles, a jump of 17 percentage points
since December. The increase cuts across party and income
lines.”
Crude oil is $132. Corn is $6.The cost of everything is
rising. Inflation is worsening, and it’s not hard to understand why.
M3, the total quantity of dollars, is now growing by 17% per annum. Weimar
inflation has arrived in America.
The Federal Reserve is following the footsteps of the
central bank in Weimar Germany. It is the same path taken by many central
banks that have issued countless fiat currencies based on nothing but
government promises. It is the path to the fiat currency graveyard, and the
once almighty US dollar – which long ago used to be “as good as
gold”, just like the Reichsmark once held that same exalted title
– is knocking at the graveyard’s gate.
This insight about the importance of gold and shortcomings
of fiat currency is not suprising, nor is it new. Here is what Rep. Howard
Buffett, father of Wall Street legend Warren Buffett, had to say on May 4,
1948. “Our finances will never be brought into order until
Congress is compelled to do so. Making our money redeemable in gold will
create this compulsion.”
Absent that compulsion, the dollar is going the way of the
Reichsmark. Don’t count on the US government to do the right thing
and make the dollar redeemable into gold. Instead, take those steps
necessary to protect yourself and your family to prepare for the
dollar’s inflationary collapse. Buy gold. Buy silver. Avoid the US
dollar.
by James Turk
*****
James Turk is the Founder & Chairman of
GoldMoney.com <http://goldmoney.com/>. He is the
co-author of The Coming Collapse of the Dollar, which has been
updated for a newly released paperback version, now entitled The
Collapse of the Dollar <www.dollarcollapse.com>.
Copyright © 2008 by James Turk. All
rights reserved.