Jun 3 2008 10:22AM
What is the biggest mistake you can make with your money in
2008? Ignoring gold, silver and their related inflation hedges can lose you
more money than all the other mistakes you can make put together, except
for playing the roulette table in Vegas.
Once in a lifetime, there comes a chance to turn a
relatively small amount of money into a fortune, and this is one of them.
We are in the early stages of a massive multi-year bull market in the
metals. The supply-demand situation beggars belief. This is as close to
riskless as anything I have ever recommended in 31 years of publishing The
Ruff Times. You can put a list of mining stocks on the wall, throw a dart
at them, invest in the holes and make a lot of money, in effect creating
your personal mutual fund. When the wind blows, even the turkeys fly. Of
course you can make lot more money picking the sheep from the goats, and
that is what the Ruff Times is for, separating the biggest winners from the
holes in the ground surrounded by liars.
A word of caution: all my words of advice are for the long
term only. In the short term, gold and silver can do anything, go anywhere.
In the last bull market of the ‘70s-‘80s gold went from $120 to
$850, but there were discouraging retreats of as much as 30% several times
along the way. It was attacked by speculators, central banks, and even
Uncle Sam through Jimmy Carter. But gold and silver prevailed, even though
chickens bailed out from time to time. I was new to the advice business
back then, and even I got scared out once for a little while.
Actually, this is “déjà vu all over
again,” as said the master of malapropism, Yogi Berra. It’s an
eerie repeat of the 1970s, only more so. All the same factors that drove
that historic 1970s bull market are back, only a lot more so; an explosion
of money creation by the Federal Reserve that is so great they have even
stopped publishing a monthly report on M-3, the most trustworthy measure of
changes in the money supply. I guess they no longer know, or don’t
want you to know, the embarrassing numbers.
Actually, it’s worse than that. Did you know that the
phrase “printing press” no longer means much when it comes to
money? Actually, less than five percent of the money is actually minted,
printed or coined! The rest of it is in cyberspace, created at the Federal
Reserve, or by commercial banks. The amount is beyond comprehension. This
process is called “monetary inflation,” and that is what
ultimately drives price inflation and drives gold and silver. The more
money is created, the higher go the precious metals.
Also, they react to the prospect of war, or actual war
itself, and America has never been more threatened by war that will affect
us at home than we are now, by terrorism and nuclear proliferation by rogue
nations.
History tells us that ever since the invention of
Guttenberg’s movable type press, and the subsequent development of
paper currency. The average time each currency lasts is 50 to 75 years
before the world is littered in dead paper currencies, and until we invent
a new one, gold and silver coins reign supreme, but not before they soar to
the moon in value. There is not a time in human history when gold and
silver have not been considered real wealth and instinctively turned to
when paper decorated with ink has become so much confetti.
How long will it take us, and are we near the brink? No one
knows. We have become immensely sophisticated at postponing the inevitable.
It might be five years, ten years, or twenty-five or fifty years before the
inevitable drama plays out. But play out it will.
In the meantime, we will make a bundle in the metals and
their derivatives. In fact, they will be a new way for the middle class to
in effect print money, and in dollar terms, the metals are going to the
moon. $2500 gold or $125 silver anyone? And what about 500% to 2000%
profits in the next few years. That is written in cement over the next few
years – or in gold or silver.
By Howard Ruff
The Ruff Times
*****
Howard J. Ruff, the legendary author and financial advisor,
has re-edited and will re-issue his 1978 mega best seller, How to Prosper
During the Coming Bad Years, still the biggest-selling financial book in
history, with 2.6 million copies in print. He is founder and editor of The
Ruff Times Financial Newsletter. This article appeared in the May 9, 2008
issue of The Ruff Times. The newsletter is much more comprehensive and
deals with a broad spectrum of middle-class financial issues and includes
an Investment Menu from which you can build your portfolio.
(You can learn about it
here). The Ruff Times has served more than 600,000 subscribers –
more than any financial-advisory newsletter in the world. His new book is
now in book stores or at www.rufftimes.com.