AN ECONOMIC WORLDVIEW WAR
Markets somewhere between fear and panic despite
bailout
Oct 6, 2008
"Imagine for a moment that you have the
ability to create any amount of money, without ever having to produce
anything. Is there anyone or anything you couldn't buy? Probably not. Sound
impossible? It should be, but it isn't. Just ask your local Federal Reserve
banker - they do it every day." –Rediscovering
Gold (2001) By Craig R. Smith
The Dow has now fallen 40% since its
2007 peak of 14,000, in the wake of the worst credit crunch since the Great
Depression and the biggest bailout in history. Don't panic, own
gold.
"Every economy in the world experiences cycles of expansion
and contraction. These cycles are healthy and as regular as the tides. When
attempts are made to alter these cycles economies run into major trouble.
This time is no different. There are certain rules of the universe that
just cannot be violated," writes Swiss America CEO Craig R. Smith at
WND.
The markets have come to the sobering realization that the Bush
administration's $800 billion rescue plan won't work quickly to unfreeze
the credit markets, and that many banks are still having difficulty gaining
access to cash. Investors are exiting stocks and moving money into
government debt and gold.
"We face extreme danger. Unless there is immediate intervention on
every front by all the major powers acting in concert, we risk a
disintegration of global finance within days. Nobody will be spared, unless
they own gold bars," reports Telegraph<
/a>.
"In 25 years on Wall Street, I have never seen
things this bad. Sell everything. Nothing’s working.
Revisit when the prices are adjusted for a big recession
and a crushed consumer," says Thestreet.com founder
and perma-bull Jim Cramer.
We will either build our own economic worldview
or swallow someone else's.
Most people find the study of economics a rather "dismal
science", perhaps even boring. The result is that the public is prone
to accept “expert” advice without first having a sound,
free-market economic foundation or worldview.
This lack trust in the free markets helps to explain why the public is
intuitively against further government bailouts, rescues or hand outs,
despite the pleading of Bush, Bernanke, Paulson, Buffett, et al.
For example, the majority Americans (and mainstream financial
journalists) believe 'credit equals money' because both can be created with
the stroke of a banker’s pen. Likewise, most believe there's no
consequence for abusing this "debt-based" system such as a U.S.
dollar or housing crash.
By swallowing the popular, but misguided "debt-based"
worldview it helps to fuel the pernicious credit cycle which leads to both
booms and busts! Many investors, trying to outrun the credit cycle, are
driven toward riskier and riskier investments, undergirded by an
over-confidence in paper currencies, Wall Street hype or government
bailouts.
However just as hot summer days are now fading into cold winter nights,
the economic over-confidence has been transformed into economic
under-confidence. What follows could range from a mild to nasty
recession... to runaway inflation... to the worst of both: stagflation.
The key to keeping your money safe today is to discern the changing
economic seasons and take action right now.
21st CENTURY SUPER-CYCLE CHANGE
The year 2000 brought with it a very different global change than most
expected. Instead of computers driving our nation into a widespread
blackouts and chaos, the market cycle began a fundamental shift toward
commodities and away from equities for the first time in nearly two
decades.
By 9-11 the cycle was already in motion, as energy and metals began to
show signs of serving as 'the canary in the coal mine' foretelling of a
shift away from stocks and into tangible assets. Since then oil and gold
prices have tripled.
The residential real estate price explosion of 2001-2006 served as a
powerful example of "asset inflation" -- fueled by artificially
cheap money. This asset inflation generated phony collateral for runaway
consumer debt and lured the consumer into unprecedented debt excesses,
which has now turned ugly.
Today one in 100 U.S. homes are either in foreclosure on headed for it.
The housing ‘wealth effect’ of recent years (which has
propelled the global economy) has abruptly slammed into reverse. The
extreme sellers market of 2005 is now on its way to becoming the extreme
buyers market in 2009.
History teaches us that asset deflation usually follows asset inflation
in the historical boom-bust credit cycle. The bigger the boom, the bigger
the bust. This is just common sense.
Millions of investors are now looking for alternatives to the
"priced-for-perfection" U.S. stock and housing markets. Many are
now rushing into cash, thinking the U.S. dollar is (and will remain)
"king".
But if that's true, why are so many central banks and big investors
dumping dollars? Perhaps because the emperor has no clothes, except those
on the American consumer's back.
One major reason U.S. gold and silver coins are becoming a popular
component in a well diversified portfolio is simply because they are assets
that you can own 100%, and the value is not controlled by government nor
Wall Street, but by you alone and the simple law of supply and demand.
'OWNERSHIP' VERSUS 'LOANERSHIP'
Further adding to the deception of the debt-based worldview is
the concept that Americans can really fully own most assets. True ownership
mean full control, and neither real estate, stocks, bonds nor even your own
car are ever fully yours.
For example, while most home-"owners" hope they can one day
"own their own home" once that nasty mortgage is paid off, I
would remind you that state and local property taxes will always be due
annually. This illustrates that the government is the true final
"owner" of all property in this country if you fail to pay your
property taxes.
The same is true of stocks or bond gains. Fail to pay the taxes yearly
and it becomes clear who really owns your gains. Even your car cannot be
wholly owned unless you plan to drive only on your own property...
otherwise, the car must be registered and insured or off it goes to
government impound.
My point is that most of us are content with hold assets of
"loanership", that is, assets which we use for our benefit but at
a price -- either for a periodic dollar amount or with a price of some loss
of freedom and control.
In the world of modern investment collectibles, such as U.S. gold and
silver coins, stand virtually alone as assets of full ownership, full
privacy and full control. For this reason alone, they should be included in
every portfolio by every investor that seeks to control their own financial
destiny.
Loanership assets are always somebody elses’ liability.
Loanership assets must be dressed up, you know, 'put some lipstick on' to
be made attractive. Not so with precious metals and collectible coins, they
are most beautiful in their original state. All that must be done is to
certify their authenticity and rarity. The investment and esthetic beauty
of numismatic coins shine from within.
A PERSONAL GOLD STANDARD
“America’s current problems started with the closing of the
gold window, progressed with the unsustainably of Bretton Woods II, and
reached the point of insanity via the complete lack of regulatory oversight
that epitomized the Greenspan years. That U.S. financial markets are in a
state of panic today is not surprising. That the powers that be have been
able to keep the game going this long is," reports Fall Street.com.
If closing the gold window back in 1971 is the root cause of
today’s crisis, it is just common sense that putting yourself back on
a personal gold standard is the fundamental solution to today’s
crisis for the average investor.
United States gold and silver coins, the famous 'old world' currency
are fast becoming the 'new world' currency because they offer the missing
link in all paper currencies: a "benchmark" store of value.
Tangible commodities and high quality collectible investments are not
only a safe haven but are also on track to outperform stocks, bonds, real
estate and CDs again in 2008, just as they have every year since 2001!
The time has come for prudent investors to diversify a portion of their
money into hard assets and then relax. I exhort those who've ignored gold's
call to financial preparation can take action now before the world
officially recognizes gold as the new global monetary benchmark.
The ultimate form of true wealth beckons wise investors again today. Gold
and silver will help provide you with the insurance you need, the growth
you seek, and the peace of mind you deserve.