76 experts see $2,200 gold ahead
What Four-Digit
Gold Should Be Telling You
By David Bradshaw, Editor Real Money
Perspectives
June 3, 2009
Gold prices touched $1,000/oz. in 2009 as stocks fell
to decade lows and sent investors rushing to safe havens. The commodity
super-cycle has swept gold prices up over threefold since 2001 -- but
that's just the kickoff phase say the experts.
"$1,000/oz. gold signals the world is quickly losing
confidence in paper currencies, the federal government and Wall
Street," says Swiss America CEO Craig R. Smith.
How high will gold rush?
So far gold prices have systematically grown about $100/oz. per year
between 2003 and 2008. Gold prices averaged $300 in '03, $400 in '04, $500
in '05, $600 in '06 and $700 in '07 and $800 in '08. But today many experts
are forecasting $1,000-$1,500 gold prices in 2009 on their way north of
$2,000/oz.
"Gold is poised for a dramatic surge and could blast through
$2,000 an ounce by the end of 2009 as central banks flood the world's
monetary system with liquidity," according to an internal client note
from the US bank Citigroup.
"The damage caused by the financial excesses of the last quarter
century was forcing the world's authorities to take steps never tried
before. This gamble was likely to end in one of two extreme ways: with
either a resurgence of inflation; or a downward spiral into depression,
civil disorder, and possibly wars. Both outcomes will cause a rush for
gold," reports London Telegraph.
"When greed is finally replaced by profound fear, 'faith' in fiat
money will fail, and there will be a profound flight out of all paper and
digital financial instruments, and into physical gold and silver. The
reason we have not yet reached $2,000 gold is because this has not yet
happened. When it does, $2,000 gold may well be the last legible signpost
on a road that connects normalcy with financial chaos," reports Paul
Saur at SoyouthinkyoucanRant.
Here's a chronological list of over 75 prominent analysts and
gold experts offering their perspective on where gold prices are headed
in the next few years. Their combined average gold price expectation is
$2,200/oz. gold! Count for yourself the dozens of good reasons for owning
gold today. We've listed 24 reasons at in the conclusion.
2009 Forecasts
EDWARD ZORE, CEO, Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance
"Gold just seems to make sense; it’s a store of value. In the
Depression, gold did very, very well. The price could double or even rise
fivefold if the economy continues to weaken. Northwestern Mutual has
accumulated about $400 million in gold. Gold gained 10% last month, the
most since November. The commodity has more than tripled since 2000, rising
for eight straight years." -Bloomberg, 6-2-09
JIM WILLIE,CB, PhD in Statistics, Goldenjackass.com
"The gold price follows the central banks monetization and diverse
federal fiscal stimulus worldwide, and has ignored season. The only
resistance will be the illegal kind from naked shorting of futures
contracts by the usual villains who operate at the behest of governments,
protected from prosecution. They will not be able to stop what comes. A
challenge of the $1,000 level could come very soon. Once $1,000 is
penetrated in clear fashion, with excitement and attention, an overshoot of
$1,300 could even occur." GoldSeek,
5-22-09
JOHN ING, CEO, Maison Placements Canada Inc.
"Most disturbing is that the current global financial crisis has
caused institutions and governments alike to violate their trust with
investors. Agreements are being torn up and the Treasury Department isn't
even keeping its word. With gold near $1,000 an ounce it has become the
world's defacto currency. Gold has reached new highs in every major
currency in the world except for the dollar and we believe it will soon
achieve new highs, in dollars this time to $2,000 per ounce," reports
SafeHaven, 5-5-09
JEFFREY RHODES, Trader, International
Assets Holding Corp.
"Gold may be 'off to the races' if prices
break resistance levels at $950 to $960 an ounce. Prices may surpass $1,200
an ounce this year, more than the record $1,032 reached in March
2008." -Bloomberg, 5-3-09
JOHN READE, UBS AG Analyst
"Gold will rise to $1,100/oz. within three months,
Gold will probably continue to follow inflation expectations in the
near term, although it remains vulnerable to improved
risk-asset sentiment. Other central banks may also
announce credit easing, and this could help sentiment
toward gold." -Bloomberg, 3-23-09
DANIEL BREBNER, Analyst,
UBS
"Gold has a potential upside
of $2,500 an ounce, for a surge of 170%
above current prices and a downside risk of
about $500 an ounce, or less than 50%. The
current environment is one which can best
be characterized as having a 'low margin of error'
for central bankers; with the prospects for deflation or
inflation as becoming more extreme." -FT, 3-10-09
CHRISTOPHER WYKE,
Schroders commodities product manager
"In the next 12 months a gold price of $2,000 an ounce is quite
likely. If you saw the dollar resume
its fall and maybe toward the end of
this year, you started seeing people worried about the inflationary
consequences of U.S. government policies,
then gold prices could move up very
sharply," -Reuters, 3-9-09
CHRISTOPHER WOOD,
Equity strategist, "He saw the subprime crisis coming,"
-WSJ
"Gold is likely to more than triple from the current level
to $3,500 in 2010. It’s the only form of money or credit not
contaminated by the credit system - and the fact it’s still money is
that central banks still own a lot of it, the global paper currency system
will steadily deteriorate, eastern and central Europe will face a
full-scale currency collapse, putting huge pressure on western Europe. The
US is facing a deflationary collapse more severe than the crash that
hobbled Japan’s economy in the 1990s, leaving gold as the only
defensive play for investors." -BusIntel, 3-1-09 ... "Sub-prime has merely exposed the
bigger scam of structured finance; a scam that is about pretending that bad
credit is good credit." -London Times, 9-19-07
SASCHA OPEL, Publisher,
Orsus Consult GmbH, (German commodities newsletter)
"I am absolutely convinced that we will not peak
in 2009! I believe that the price
of gold is manipulated. I believe that we will go over $1,200 by the end
of 2009, but I am not sure if we can
defend that level. The establishment surely
will do something so that the price will not go too high in too
short a time. In looking back at
the rise of gold from $35 to $850 during the ‘70s, the former
Fed Chairman Paul Volcker said, "It
was probably a mistake to allow gold to
rise so high." And Volcker now is on the Obama-Team! We will not
have a peak like 1980, but gold
will rise constantly. Buying on dips is the best strategy.
Perhaps sometime later (in a few years, but not
‘09) gold will start to move
$50 or $100 for some days in a row to $2,500 or more. Then I would sell or
hedge some "virtual" gold
over the markets (futures, ETFs, short-certificates etc.),
but I would not sell the physical stuff!" MineWeb, 2-28-09
HANS
GOETTI, CIO, LGT Bank in Liechtenstein
"As governments print
more money to pull the global economy out of a recession, gold may spike to
$3,000 a troy ounce as a result," -CNBC, Pros Say: Gold to Spike to
$3,000, 2-24-09
BRIAN
HICKS, co-manager, U.S. Global Investors' Global Resources Fund
"Gold lagged the commodity bull market that we saw up until 2008. So
it's not out of the question for gold to rise to its inflation-adjusted
high ($2,200/oz.), particularly given the fact gold is a small market and
there are going to be a lot of dollars with people looking to place their
money in tangible assets rather than intangible assets at this point in
time." -WSJ,
Gold's 'Perfect Storm' Rages On, 2-23-09
MARTIN MURENBEELD, Dundee Wealth chief economist
RALPH
ALDIS, US Global Investors precious-metal-fund comanager
"Seasoned forecaster Dundee Wealth Inc chief economist Martin
Murenbeeld and US Global Investors precious-metal-fund comanager Ralph
Aldis both cite the exact same long-term $2,300/oz figure, Murenbeeld
explaining that the $850/oz gold-price peak of January 2008 translates into
a $2,300/oz peak in today's money. Aldis says: "In the longer term,
you're talking gold as a fairly safe investment, and it wouldn't surprise
me to see gold go back, on a inflation-adjusted basis, to $2 300/oz."
-MiningWeek, 2-17-09
GARY DUGAN, Chief Investment Officer, Merrill Lynch
"Gold prices may hit $1,500 an ounce in the next 12 to 15 months. With
confidence in currencies shaken to the core, the yellow metal is
increasingly assuming the role of 'the most trusted currency'. We have
never seen such a rush to buy gold. It's bringing in security and it's
still affordable. While demand for gold has been rising production has been
declining. South Africa, which accounts for the major share of global gold
production, is facing political issues and has energy problems. The
greenback will decline in value by the middle of this year when people will
begin to realize that President Obama's policies are not having the desired
impact." -Business24-7, 2-3-09
2008 Forecasts
ROBIN GRIFFITHS, Technical Analyst, Cazenove
Capital
"Gold is heading toward $1,500 in the next 12 months.
Cash doesn't give you a return, at the moment not one worth having, so the
negative about gold has gone away. It does traditionally preserve value
both in panicky inflationary times and deflationary times." -CNBC, 12-15-08
PHILIP MANDUCA, Head of Investment, ECU Group
"The price of gold is set to rally to $2,000 per ounce next year as
an improvement in the economic outlook causes fear of inflation and
currency debasement." -CNBC, 12-3-08 "Gold is
still by far the optimal choice for most investors to play. It's been
successful in '04, '05 and '06. Gold will be through $1,000 in the next 18
months." -Bloomberg, 11-29-06
FRANCISCO BLANCH, Analyst, Merrill
Lynch
"Gold prices could hit $1,500 as global plans to rescue
the financial industry are set to increase inflation pressures. The
unintended consequence of the ongoing financial bailout will be a return of
inflationary pressures to the commodity markets." -MW, 10-14-08
ROB LUTTS, President, Cabot Money Management
"The
action of central bankers globally is going to do two things for investors.
It will debase the value of currency; and unleash — eventually
— inflation. Not next month, not next quarter, but we think inflation
is coming back. With world gold production down 10% from its year 2000
peak, the precious metal will hit $1,000 over the next six months, and
$2,000 over the next few years." CNBC, 10-8-08 ... "Gold
will hit $850-$870 by the end of 2007 and $2,000 gold is achievable in this
move, given the huge demand from ETFs and soon pensions and insurance
companies will be buying gold as a new alternative asset class." -CNBC, 11-2-07
PETER MAJOR, Cadiz Financial
Services
"I think gold will go back to $1,000 just because the
U.S. is going to have to print so much money to foot the bill for
everything they want to do. They've created close to $5 trillion new debt
in the last eight years. It looks like they're going to have to add another
trillion in debt here real quick." -Goldseek,
9-24-08
MICHAEL YORBA, founder Yorba Trading
Network, Yorba TV
"Why do I think crude oil is going to $300
bbl and gold is going to $3000/oz.? The real problem we face with the
"Counter Party Risk Credit Default Swap" is that we have a
massive devaluation of huge block trades backing virtually all insurance
and financing of big companies around the globe. The $1 trillion bail out
is just a band aid on a $60 trillion problem. The US will need to raise the
other $59 trillion to bail out the rest of the financial sector, which
means that the US will need to sell more debt instruments. This could very
well devalue the US dollar one heck of a lot more than it already
has." -Y
orba.TV, 9-22-08
JOHN HILL and GRAHAM WARK, Citibank analysts
"Frankly, we're surprised, that gold is not already at $2,000 an
ounce. Gold will benefit from both the "gloom & doom" and
"muddle-through & monetization" scenarios, possibly regaining
$1,000 per ounce at year-end and even doubling or tripling in the long
term," -Mineweb, 9-19-08 "A 'Reflationary Rescue', in a new
cycle of global credit creation and competitive currency devaluations could
take gold to $1,000 an ounce, or higher. Central banks have been forced to
choose between global recession or sacrificing control of gold, and have
chosen the perceived lesser of two evils." -London Telegraph, 10-1-07.
FRANK BARBERA, editor, The Gold
Stock Technician Newsletter
"There’s likely to be a lot
more downside pressure on the financial and monetary side and the
government is going to have to pay for this. They’re going to have to
print up the digital money to keep the system viable, and that means a
higher cost of goods for all of us. We’ll see inflation. And that
should power the precious metals to new all-time highs in 2009 and well
beyond. Looking out two or three years, I’m confident we’ll see
gold prices above $5,000 an ounce. I’m confident we’ll see
silver prices above $100 an ounce." -Stockhouse, 8-26-08
ED BUGOS, The Daily Reckoning
"Prices will continue to rise until outright fear of inflation
exceeds all others. That’s why gold has the potential to catch fire
here. Watch gold prices double over the next year. My forecast is for gold
to reach $1,200 by year-end, and $2,000 by next summer." -
DR, 7-18-08
IAN WILLIAMS, Charteris
Treasury Portfolio Managers
"Gold is one of the biggest laggards
and the one that confuses investors most. Unlike oil, copper, nickel and a
host of other commodities which have seen rises of between eight and
thirteen fold increases in the last ten years, gold has risen a mere three
and a half times from its low. Gold would have to rise to $2,500 an ounce
at present to restore the gold/oil ratio to its historic norm." -Telegraph, 7-4-08
RONALD STROEFERLE,
International Equites Analyst, Erste Bank
"The price of gold
will jump to $2,300 in the long term based on the remonetization of gold as
money. Gold has been a store of value for over 3,000 years and will
continue to be so for thousands of years in the future. We recommend 10-15%
allocation into commodities, with the bulk invested into gold. -CNBC,
6-27-08
ALEX WALLENWEIN,
Publisher, EURO VS DOLLAR MONITOR
"Gold will take its short-term
lumps this week and will then start its run north to the $1,500 - $2,000
range before the year is up. Gold is forming a beautiful triangle pattern
from which it will probably break out." -MarketOracle
6-23-08
MARK LEIBOVIT,
Chief Market Strategist, VRTRADER.com
"Gold is in a 20-year
cycle that began in 2001. My research indicates gold will top near
$2,800/oz. and may rise above $5,000/oz. which could prompt a switch back
to the gold standard for the U.S." -M
oneyShow 6-16-08
ROGER WIEGAND,
Editor, Trader Tracks
"We forecast gold at a minimum price of
$2,960 with a probability of much higher prices. Silver is near $17 and $50
is a sure thing with our expectations of $176 to $256 within five years.
Markets ebb and flow with cycles and profit-taking. Do not be fooled with
hollow selling bearish news and threats by those who prefer gold sell-off
to lower prices. Gold is the only real money in the world and its rally has
barely begun." -Webeatthestreet.com<
/a> 6-12-08
RICHARD
DAVIS, Fund manager, BlackRock
"There's a good chance that
it may go back above $1,000 in the short- to medium-term. We're headed for
inflationary times and gold has always been a safe asset to protect your
wealth against inflation." -Reuters, 6-11-08
TONY LESIAK,
Analyst, UBS
"Gold may have eased back from last week’s
record high of $1,030.80 an ounce, but the yellow metal is well positioned
for growth. Gold appears relatively cheap compared to oil on a historical
basis, holding the potential for gold to more than double to levels where
it will regain its long term average relationship." -Financial Post, 3-25-08
THOMAS WINMILL, Manager, Midas Fund
"There is still
considerable upside left to gold, although not without a short-term
correction. Gold may someday reach a peak of $2,000 an ounce. For most
investors, gold should represent a 5 to 10 percent asset allocation,"
-MarketWatch. 3-24-08
ERIC SPROTT, founder and chairman, Sprott Asset Management
"Turmoil in global credit markets may lead to the collapse of a North
American bank, pushing bullion prices up to $2,000 an ounce as investors
seek a haven in gold. We're in a systemic financial meltdown. Government
bonds are a joke at the interest they're paying. You can buy gold or other
real things -- gold, silver, platinum, palladium -- things that hold
value." -Bloomberg, 3-11-08
MICHAEL WIDMER, Analyst, Lehman Brothers
"All the
newsflow coming out of the U.S. is hugely bullish for the gold market. In
the end, what lower interest rates mean is that it will be difficult for
the dollar to come back strongly. Inflationary pressures are something that
are also playing into the market. Fundamentals are strong and I think
$1,000 would not be an end. We are going to go higher from there." -
The
Guardian, 2-29-08
PAUL WALKER, Chief Executive GFMS
"The price of gold
is likely to peak at just over $1,000 per ounce in 2008. Gold is dancing to
its own tune and not just being influenced by a weaker dollar. Walker
estimated that investor demand was 12 percent of total demand for gold in
2007." Reuters, 2-4-08
SEAN BRODRICK, Editor, Money and Markets
"Gold has
enjoyed a great run over the past few years, but it hasn't been a straight
path. But one strategy has worked time and time again: Buy the dips. It
takes courage to buy when everyone else is selling. But if you do your
research, you can act with confidence that even if gold dips lower than
you're buying it, the upside potential is huge. My preliminary price
objective for gold is $1,065 per ounce, and it could go a lot higher than
that." -The
Coming Gold Surge, Investors.com, 2-4-08
DAVID GAROFALO, CFO, Agnico-Eagle Mines
"We
don't see any reason in this cycle why gold shouldn't reach its real
all-time high, which is actually about $2,200 an ounce," he told
reporters after a presentation in Toronto, adding the time frame of three
to five years. -Reuters, 1/10/08
2007 Forecasts
OTTO SPORK, Hedge fund manager, Sextant Capital Management
Inc.
"The price of the yellow metal is en route to $1,500 an
ounce within the next two years. We could easily see $35 or $40 per ounce
for silver over the next couple of years. We feel that certainly the junior
gold and other resource stocks are nowhere reflecting their true
value." -Globe&Mail, 12-4-07
JAMES DINES, Editor, The Dines Letter
"We would be
very surprised if the gold price did not blast right through the old highs,
and we reaffirm our old targets for gold of $3,000 to $5,000 an ounce (Plus
silver over $100 an ounce) ... gold is not merely a colorful trinket but a
monetary asset, and when mass fear strikes at the heart of paper money, the
stampede to gold will be awesome." -MW
a>, 11-5-07
DAVID DAVIS, Analyst, Credit Suisse
"The gold price
will soar to more than $1,000 per ounce over the next five years as
dwindling supply of the precious metal combines with increased demand.
Upward pressure on the price of gold is being driven by the economic
environment surrounding the US economy and a change in the supply and
demand dynamics surrounding gold." -London Telegraph, 11-1-07
PAUL O’BRIEN, Analyst, Raymond James
"We
believe this rally is still in its infancy with a ‘toe in the
water’ ahead of the upcoming 4Q. The gains for gold can be attributed
to the interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and continued weakness for
the greenback." -National Post,
9-24-07
AUBIE BALTIN, CFA, CTA, CFP, PhD
"When FEAR
combines with full blown Greed, there is no longer any more talk of
correction as prices begin to jump 5% to 10% in one day and people line up
to buy bullion as signs pop up everywhere, “WE buy and sell
gold”. Once both fear and greed take over the market and the short
squeezes begin in earnest, there is no way of predicting how high the high.
$2,200 gold and $100 silver seems the barest minimum targets, maybe $5,000
or even $10,000." -FiendBear, 9-24-07
JOHN HILL, Analyst, Citigroup
"Gold appears to be
entering a new investment-driven phase and has re-asserted itself as a safe
haven. Gold will be one of the top beneficiaries of the
“Re-flationary Rescue,” which should bode well for hard assets
and basic materials. I would not be surprised if gold were to break its
all-time high of $850, or even $1,000 or higher in a new cycle of global
credit creation and competitive currency devaluations." -National
Post, 9-21-07
DONALD LUSKIN, Chief investment officer, Trend Macrolytics
"I've written in this column about inflation often over the last three
years. I've said gold was going to $1,000. If the Fed cuts rates, then I'm
going to have to admit I was wrong. Then gold isn't going to $1,000. It's
going to $2,000." -Smart Money, 9-7-07
AMBROSE EVANS-PRITCHARD, International Business Editor, London
Telegraph
"Gold will fly once investors can see that neither of
the two reserve currency pillars (euro and dollar) is on a sound
foundation, and once the pair are engaged in a beggar-thy-neighbor
devaluation contest to stave off a slump, this would amount to a partial
breakdown of the monetary system. Gold will not stop at $800. It might well
go beyond $2,000." -London Telegraph, 7-23-07
NED W. SCHMIDT, CFA, CEBS, Schmidt Management Co.
"Monetary illusion evident in the value of paper equities versus the
return on paper equities should not be ignored. Asset meltdown now taking
place below the surface in mortgage related investments held by speculative
hedge funds. As that happens and carnage spreads, the U.S. dollar will come
under increasing selling pressure. Gold will be the investment that
benefits, and continue the move to more than $1,400." -Fina
ncial Sense, 6-20-07
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO, Third largest U.S. bank
"Gold may rise to more than $1,000 an ounce as demand from India,
China and exchange traded funds increases and production of precious metal
falls." -Bloomberg 6-7-07
DAVID ROSENBERG, Economist, Merrill Lynch
"The
current bull market for gold could last another five years, if certain
conditions are in place, and the metal's price could soar to an incredible
$1,500/oz. Investors should buy gold to beat the current period of
stagflation." , -Platts , 4-11-07
JIM SINCLAIR, Author, Chairman of Tan Range JS Mineset
"Gold has no agenda, no allegiance and functions as honest money in a
world of lies, corruption, overstatement and spin. $700 to $705 might well
be a place certain interests will try and block gold, but their only hope
is for momentary success. $761 is yanking at gold from the front with great
power. $887.50, a break above $1000 and $1650 are putting their grip on the
royal metal as well." JSmineset.com, 2-25-07
2006 Forecasts
LOUISE YAMADA, Managing Director -- Yamada Technical
Research Advisors
"Gold is the purest play against the dollar. I
see gold surpassing $730 in 2007 on its way to $3,000 within a decade. Gold
is probably the most straightforward investment to go with in this
environment because of its consistent inverse relationship to the
dollar.Other countries are trying to diversify their dollar holdings.
They're buying gold and anything they can to get out of the dollar."
Bloomberg, 12/11/06
JULIAN PHILLIPS, Analyst -- GoldForecaster.com
"We
would not be surprised to see $1,000-plus gold from sometime in 2007 at the
earliest to 2009 at the latest. Physical demand is now being added to by
the turnaround in hedge funds' change of heart to the upside. The potential
oil shortage and more-than-likely ruptures in the stability of the
global-money system when the dollar starts to suppurate." -Marketwatch, 11-3-06
DR. CLIVE ROFFEY, Elliot Wave Theory Analyst/Publisher -- Gold
Action
"I believe that the current correction is a more likely
to be a minor before a move to well above the previous $720 peak, probably
above $800. When the minor correction should occur leading to a wave five
that will eventually peak well above $1,000 before we hit the next major
correction." -321gold
a>, 10-6-06.
HOWARD RUFF, Editor -- The Ruff Times
"Gold and
silver are now early in a historic bull market that will dwarf the
500-1700% profits we made in the '70s. Gold will hit at least $2,172 and
$100 silver is inevitable. Investment vehicles to avoid: Stocks, bonds,
fixed-return investments like utilities, REITs, residential real estate,
ARMS (adjustable rate mortgages). Investment winners in bull markets: Gold,
silver, copper and other base metals, uranium. The most powerful,
completely essential factor affecting gold is monetary inflation. The most
compelling force affecting silver today is the supply/demand
equation." -Marketwatch, 8-24-06
DR. DAVID DAVIS, Senior Gold Analyst -- Credit Suisse Standard
Securities
"Between 2007 and 2010, supply-and-demand dynamics
will undergo irreversible change, caused by a decline in global mine and
official sector supply and increased demand from China and the investment
community. We still see a gold price of $700/oz, $800/oz and $1,200/oz by
2008, 2010, and 2015 respectively." -Resource
Investor, 8-4-06
ROBERT KIYOSAKI, Author -- Rich Dad
"I still think
gold will go to $1,500 an ounce. I'm betting against the U.S. dollar. Gold
is a hedge against U.S. government mismanagement. My family members have a
tradition of saving all their spare change for months on end and then
trading all the coins in for a single gold coin." -Washington Post, 6/20/06
STEPHEN LEEB, Author -- The Coming Economic Collapse
"Gold took a hit last week, falling 5.7%. As with other commodities,
gold was perhaps due for a correction and responded to Bernanke's tougher
words. We could see it drift a little lower -- between $580 and $600. But
this downside is paltry compared to the upside potential for gold. Gold
could reach a price many times higher than it's at today, regardless of
whether inflation or deflation becomes the problem. So we remain buyers of
gold along with energy and our low-risk hedges." The Complete Investor -6-12-06
HARRY SCHULTZ, Analyst -- International Harry Schultz
Letter
"My view has always been: current governments (which are
bank-owned) won't voluntarily return to a gold standard, with its
discipline on money creation. But, when the price roars to, say $1,600,
they'll quite possibly be forced to do so, to appease a clamor for sound
money - e.g. Bretton Woods II. The price could go to $2,000 while they
debate new rules. Washington insiders would see it as their last chance to
save the US dollar as a reserve currency. If they don't, the euro, yen or
yuan could make a bid for that status ... If no rules are made at $1,600,
gold could keep climbing till they do. Hello $3,000." -MW,
6-5-06 -- 2007 quote MW
PAUL MYLCHREEST, Analyst -- Cheuvreux Investment
"We
also see the possibility of a spike to $2,000 or higher, if the story on
diminished central bank gold reserves becomes widely accepted, if central
banks in countries with large US dollar holdings compete to buy gold and
diversify forex reserves away from dollars, and if the U.S. economy slides
into either high rates of inflation or deflation." -Mineweb,
2-6-06.
JIM CRAMER, Founder -- Thestreet.com, Host -- Mad Money,
Real Money
"Gold could reach $1,000 if the Chinese stop buying
our paper. Once the levee to the Treasuries breaks, the easy high ground
worth gaining will be gold. Any portfolio designed to counter
government-mandated inflation has to be bedrocked in gold" -New York magazine, Oct. 10, 2005
JAMES TURK, Founder -- Goldmoney.com
"Gold is going
much higher, and the $8,000 [per ounce] I mentioned a couple of years ago
is probably as good a target as any. There are two aspects to what's
driving the gold price: First, there is strong physical demand around the
world. When gold crossed the $500-an-ounce level, people started buying
gold in anticipation of monetary problems. Second, the physical demand for
gold is causing a huge problem for the gold shorts. There has been a large
gold carry trade in place. It is very possible gold could have a massive
spike in the next six to 12 months to as high as $2,000, driven by these
factors." "GOLD MINE" -Barrons, 5/29/06
JIM ROGERS, Author/Adventurer -- Hot Commodities (former George
Soros partner)
"Mr. Rogers, who foresaw the start of a commodity
rally in 1999, told Bloomberg the boom in energy and raw material prices
will endure, driving gold to a record $1,000 an ounce. The shortest bull
market for commodities lasted 15 years, the longest 23 years, so if history
is any guide, they've got a long way to go. This is not a bubble."
-Bloomberg, 4-19-06
RICHARD RUSSELL, Editor -- Dow Theory Letters
"Gold
is now being accepted as the fourth currency along with the dollar, the
euro and the yen. But there is a difference. Gold is also being recognized
as the tangible currency and the ONLY SAFE currency. That gold pays no
interest -- but is still at an 25-year high in terms of dollars -- is a
testament to its value and safety in the eyes of sophisticated
investors." Dowtheoryletters.com
J. TAYLOR, Editor -- J. Taylor's Gold and Technology Stocks
"This is a different gold bull market and most bullish of all is
that fact that this is still a stealth bull market. The voice of the global
market is just starting to express a declining confidence in the dollar but
with a coverage of only 1.7% [in U.S. gold reserves] at close to $700/oz.,
I believe we are still in the very early stages of a major gold bull
market. We have a long, long ways to go toward $3,000 and beyond." -Howestr
eet.com
JOHN HATHAWAY, Portfolio Manager -- Tocqueville Gold Fund
"Gold is in a bull-market trend, and there are a lot of reasons for
that, and we will see higher prices. People shouldn't be surprised to see
gold trade in the four digits." -Barrons
a> ... "In truth, the price of gold at $600 is no big deal. In 1980
dollars, it is only $300. If prior highs mean anything, a target of $1700
in today's dollars is what investors should be thinking about. Investors
should worry less about whether this particular moment is a good or bad
entry point and ponder the implications of sailing through uncharted waters
without a lifeboat." -Tocque
ville.com
MARC FABER, Author -- Tommorrow's Gold
"A vicious
drop in the Dow coupled with a vicious rise in gold, possibly pushing gold
to an astounding $2,000, $3,000 or even $6,000. Commodities are an asset class for the
first time in history." Marketwat
ch.com
BILL BONNER, Author/Editor -- Daily Reckoning
"When
the price of gold goes over $1,000, the bull market will be in its bubble
phase. The price may go far higher - depending on what else is going on in
the economy and the markets. But this will be a time to be careful...when
we stop adding to our positions and begin to reduce them. Gold is now cheap
and almost hidden. People are buying it for the right reason: because it is
cheap. We see signs, though, that gold is coming out of the closet and the
financial press is beginning to notice." Dailyreckoning.com
CRAIG R. SMITH, Author/CEO -- Swiss America
"Gold is clearly headed toward $1,000/oz. and is still a great bargain
near $700/oz! Gold recently jumped over $700, and is overdue for a price
correction -- which is the sure sign of a healthy bull market -- offering
yet another opportunity to buy the dips in this ongoing secular bull
market." -CNB
C Squawk Box
Lord WILLIAM REES-MOGG, Author & Economist
"I
expect gold to reach $1,000 an ounce in the foreseeable future. The price
of gold is linked to the price of oil and to the movements of the dollar...
oil is probably headed towards $100 a barrel. If there is any shooting in
Iran, prices will go through the roof. That, however, is one reason for
thinking that there may not be any attack on Iran. The world's oil supply
cannot afford it." -Money Week
ROBERT MCEWEN, CEO -- U.S. Gold Corp.
"Gold prices
may reach $2,000 an ounce by 2010 on demand for an alternative to
currencies. You have much more money than there is gold, and as people see
their currencies falling relative to gold, they're going to be saying
`Maybe I should have some of this'." -Bloomberg
PHILLIP GOTTHEFF, President/Commodities Analyst -- Equidex
Inc.
"The gold market knows inflation is already here ... which
helps explain the hysterical surge in prices in 2006... ETFs have expanded
the metals market to now include institutional investors... With Goldman
Saks forecasting $100+ oil I think we could see $1,000-1,500 gold easily...
Why hoard? Because investors are afraid of paper. If we were to try to
monetize our paper with gold the price would be in the $10,000/oz. -
$20,000/oz. range." -CNB
C "$1,000 gold debate" 5-9-06
JOHN PERSON, President -- National Futures Advisory Services
"As more and more investors start allocating more resources in
gold, we could see $800 and as high as $1,000 by year's end. All the
elements are in place for such a move, and it would not be unrealistic to
achieve in a relatively short period of time." -Marketwatch.
com
KEVIN KERR, Commentator/Author -- Marketwatch.com
"Golden Opportunity: The case for $1,000 an ounce... If your thing is
to hold the actual gold in your hand then numismatics (coins) or bullion
are the way to go." -Marketwat
ch.com
JOHN EMBRY, Chief Investment Strategist -- Sprott Asset
Management
"Gold will hit at least $800 per ounce as paper money
is going to hell in a handcart. Even a $1,000/oz gold price may be
conservative." -MineWeb.com
a>
PIERRE LASSONDE, President -- Newmont Mining Corp.
"The price of bullion may exceed $1,000 (U.S.) an ounce within five to
seven years as demand growth driven by Asia outstrips global supply."
Globeandmail
BILL MURPHY, Founder -- GATA.org, Lemetropolecafe.com
"What we are seeing is the result of years and years of a gold price
suppression scheme BLOWING UP! Gold is moving up because the crooks have
lost control! GOLD is going to go to $3,000/oz as more geopolitical
problems arise." -GoldRush21
ROSS NORMAN, TheBullionDesk.com
"Yes, I do think we
will be in the $700s perhaps late in the second quarter, or perhaps the
third quarter of 2006 - the market seems incredibly robust both in terms of
external factors like the correlation with the oil market that we're still
underperforming against - if the ratio held with that we'd be at about
$1,000 an ounce now. I think it's gaining strength from the ETFs and more
corporate and pension money coming into the market on a regular day by day
basis - all this conspires to make one believe that the market has got
plenty of strength, that it's stronger for longer as they say." -Thebulliondes
k.com
ADAM HAMILTON, CPA -- Zeal Intelligence
"If our
current gold rally truly unfolds into a Great Gold Rally, $1000 gold is
merely the first stage. A gold bubble, which will probably ultimately
happen as a way to climax the coming gold mania maybe five to seven years
out, could easily launch gold above $5000 per ounce. The actual top of a
new gold bubble at the final pinnacle of another Great Gold Rally could
touch $6000+ per ounce!" -Zeallc.com
EMANUEL BALARIE, Senior Market Strategist -- Wisdom Financial
"I think gold prices will eventually shatter even my own bullish
expectations of $1,000/oz. If you have not entered the gold market, waiting
for an opportune time might be too late. Keep in mind that regardless of
what the media is telling you, gold is still cheap at these levels."
-CNBC
Squawk on the Street
NICK MOORE, Chief Metal Analyst -- ABN Amro
"$1
000 gold is by no means an outrageous forecast. It's a cocktail of positive
stimuli for gold, you get the spillover of people buying into commodities,
whether its copper, aluminum, soft commodities or precious metals. People
are moving there." - Fin24.com
PAUL VAN EEDEN, Managing Partner -- Cranberry Capital LLC
"While my model indicates gold should be fairly valued at $900,
there's no reason to believe that gold wouldn't dramatically overshoot that
mark. And if 1979 to 1980 is anything to go by, it could exceed several
thousand dollars per ounce." -Bloomberg
JON NADLER, Investment Products Analyst -- Kitco
"Gold prices actually started their life at $35 per ounce in the early
1970s. From there, it went to $850-$875 -- a twenty-five-times-over move.
Gold began its latest move up at $252, so prices at $6,250 can't be ruled
out either, in terms of magnitude of the move." -Marketwatch.
com
CONCLUSION: 24 Reasons to Own Gold NOW!
1. Gold is still by far the optimal choice for most investors
2. Likely ruptures in the stability of the global-money system
3.
$750+ gold prices will eventually peak well above $2,000
4. The most
powerful factor affecting gold is monetary inflation
5. 2009 gold
supply/demand dynamics: irreversible changes
6. Gold's downside risk
is paltry compared to the upside potential
7. Some insiders see gold
saving the US dollar as reserve currency
8. Central banks buy gold to
diversify reserves away from dollars
9. Portfolios designed to hedge
inflation must be bedrocked in gold
10. Shortest commodity bull
market is 15 yrs, the longest 23 yrs
11. Gold now accepted as fourth
global currency (with $, Eu, Y.)
12. Most bullish of all: the fact
this is still a stealth gold bull market
13. Investors should worry
less about good/bad gold entry points
14. Commodities now an asset
class for the first time in history
15. Gold is coming out of the
closet and the press is taking notice
16. Price corrections are a
sign of a healthy bull market, buy dips
17. If there is any shooting
in Iran, gold/oil will go through the roof
18. Hard currencies (gold)
boom as people notice currencies fall
19. Gold market knows inflation
already here, explaining 2006 surge
20. More and more investors
allocating more resources into gold
21. Gold you hold in your hand:
Numismatic coins or bullion best
22. Gold gaining strength from ETFs,
corporate and pension money
23. A gold bubble 5-7 years out could
launch gold above $5,000/oz.
24. Regardless of what the media says,
gold prices are still cheap
Boil it all down to this: today gold offers unparalleled safety,
privacy and profit potential. As for my projection on gold prices; I
agree with the highly esteemed experts that gold may ultimately rise to
four, perhaps even five-digit prices -- as the public's confidence in the
world's paper currencies unravels.
For free Information on how to protect your hard earned assets contact me
directly at 877-703-2193 - Toll Free
James M. Carrillo