Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is a man who knows how Washington
works and uses that knowledge to great effect. His appearances on
Capital Hill are always worth watching. He sits politely with his hands
folded in front of him playing the bashful professor while one one preening
congressman after another makes a fool out of themself. In contrast,
Bernanke looks like a modest and thoughtful academic faithfully upholding
the public's trust. But things aren't always as they seem. The Fed
chief is sticking it to the American people big-time and no one seems to
have any idea of what's really going on. Former hedge fund manager Andy
Kessler sums it up in a recent Wall Street Journal article, "The
Bernanke Market". Here's a clip:
"By buying U.S. Treasuries and mortgages to increase the monetary
base by $1 trillion, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke didn't put money directly
into the stock market but he didn't have to. With nowhere else to go,
except maybe commodities, inflows into the stock market have been on a
tear. Stock and bond funds saw net inflows of close to $150 billion since
January. The dollars he cranked out didn't go into the hard economy, but
instead into tradable assets. In other words, Ben Bernanke has been the
market."
What does it
mean?
It means the revered professor Bernanke figured
out a way to circumvent Congress and dump more than a trillion dollars into
the stock market by laundering the money through the big banks and other
failing financial institutions. As Kessler suggests, Bernanke knew the
liquidity would pop up in the equities market, thus, building the equity
position of the banks so they wouldn't have to grovel to Congress for
another TARP-like bailout. Bernanke's actions demonstrate his contempt for
the democratic process. The Fed sees itself as a government-unto-itself.
Over at Zero Hedge, Tyler Durden did the math and figured that
the recent 45% surge in the S&P 500 had nothing to do with the
fictional economic "recovery", but was just more of the Fed's
hanky panky. Durden noticed that the money that's been sluicing into stocks
hasn't (correspondingly) depleted the money markets. That's the clue that
led him to the truth about Bernanke's 6 month stock rally.
Zero Hedge: "Most interesting is the correlation between Money Market
totals and the listed stock value since the March lows: a $2.7 trillion
move in equities was accompanied by a less than $400 billion reduction in
Money Market accounts!
Where, may we ask, did the balance of
$2.3 trillion in purchasing power come from? Why the Federal Reserve of
course, which directly and indirectly subsidized U.S. banks (and foreign
ones through liquidity swaps) for roughly that amount. Apparently these
banks promptly went on a buying spree to raise the all important equity
market, so that the U.S. consumer who net equity was almost negative on
March 31, could have some semblance of confidence back and would go ahead
and max out his credit card. Alas, as one can see in the money multiplier
and velocity of money metrics, U.S. consumers couldn't care less about
leveraging themselves any more."
So, the magical
"Green Shoots" stock market rally was fueled by a mere $400
billion from the money markets. The rest ($2.3 trillion) was main-lined
into the market via Bernanke's quantitative easing (QE) program, of
which Krugman and others speak so highly.
Wouldn't you like to know if Bernanke sat down with G-Sax and JPM
executives and mapped out the details of this swindle before the printing
presses ever started rolling?
So, how long can this kind of
fakery go on before our creditors grow weary of dealing with chiselers and
stop buying US Treasuries altogether? Here's a blurp from Friday's Wall
Street Journal on that very topic:
"Shaky auctions of
Treasury notes this week reignited concerns about whether the government
can attract buyers from China and elsewhere to soak up trillions in new
debt.
A fuse was lit this week when traders noted China's
apparent absence from direct participation in two Treasury bond auctions.
While China may have bought Treasurys just before the auctions, market
participants read the country's actions as a worrying sign that China and
other foreign investors may be ratcheting back purchases at a time when the
U.S. is seeking to fund a $1.8 trillion budget deficit.
This
week alone, the U.S. deluged the bond market with more than $200 billion in
record-size sales. The U.S. has had little trouble finding buyers in recent
months. But that demand is fading, and the Treasury market has become
volatile."
Uncle Sam is goosing the bond market just
like he is the stock market. Take a look at Treasury's latest bit of
chicanery which was stuffed in the back pages of the Wall Street Journal
back in June:
"The sudden increase in demand by foreign
buyers for Treasurys, hailed as proof that the world's central banks are
still willing to help absorb the avalanche of supply, mightn't be all that
it seems.
When the government sells bonds, traders typically
look at a group of buyers called indirect bidders, which includes foreign
central banks, to divine overseas demand for U.S. debt. That demand has
been rising recently, giving comfort to investors that foreign buyers will
continue to finance the U.S.'s budget deficit.
But in a
little-noticed switch on June 1, the Treasury changed the way it accounts
for indirect bids, putting more buyers under that umbrella and boosting the
portion of recent Treasury sales that the market perceived were being
bought by foreigners." ("Is foreign Demand as Solid as it Looks,
Min zeng)
Nice touch, eh? So, someone doesn't want you and
me to know when foreign demand drops off a cliff, so they just
bend-and-twist the definitions so they meet the Fed's requirements.
How's that for transparency?. Apparently, Bernanke et al. don't believe the
Chinese have translators who can make sense of all this subterfuge. That
may be a miscalculation, however, given recent rumblings from the Orient.
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